Welcome to this week’s edition of E-com Logistics Weekly. If the logistics industry had a theme for this week, it would be “Whiplash.”
Just days after the US Postal Service stared down the barrel of total bankruptcy, a massive, last-minute deal might have saved them from the brink. Meanwhile, a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East is already being tested, the tariff landscape is mutating with new penalties, and a scathing new exposé has the tech world questioning whether the face of the “AI Revolution” can actually be trusted.
Let’s dive in.
Amazon Reaches USPS Deal, But Hits Sellers With Surcharges
Over the last two weeks, the outlook for domestic final-mile delivery was grim, with Amazon preparing to slash its USPS volume by two-thirds. However, the situation has abruptly shifted. According to a new report from Reuters, Amazon has struck a deal with the USPS that maintains 80% of its package volume.
“We’re pleased to have reached a new agreement with USPS that furthers our longstanding partnership and will let us continue supporting our customers and communities together,” Amazon said in a statement. While the exact financial terms are unconfirmed, this agreement effectively ensures the USPS will survive to deliver the mail for another day.
But while Amazon and the USPS have made peace, third-party merchants are the ones footing the bill for global instability. According to TechCrunch, Amazon is following in USPS footsteps and is hitting sellers with a fuel surcharge as the Iran war roils global energy markets:
“Amid the rise in transportation costs, Amazon has instituted a new 3.5% fuel surcharge for sellers that use its distribution network. The policy has the potential to inflict significant new costs on the untold merchants that rely on the e-commerce giant to sell their products.”
For Ecom businesses, 3PLs and independent operators, the reality is stark: carrier networks are finding ways to stabilize, but the costs of these geopolitical crises are being passed directly down to us and you.
Trade & Tariffs: Ceasefire Flashpoints and More Tariffs
The geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has entered a tense new phase. A highly fragile two-week US-Iran ceasefire is currently in place, but according to Yahoo Finance, the Strait of Hormuz has immediately become the first major flashpoint. President Trump announced the deal included a “complete” reopening of the waterway, while Iran’s initial statement countered that passage would only happen via coordination with Iran’s Armed Forces.
That truce appeared to be in immediate jeopardy on Wednesday. Iran’s semi-official Fars news agency claimed tanker traffic was halted over Israel’s continued strikes in Lebanon, and the Wall Street Journal reported that Iran told mediators it would limit crossings to around a dozen ships a day, a fraction of the 130+ daily transits before the war.
“There is a quiet but palpable concern that President Trump, eager for a quick political victory, could tolerate some Iranian leverage over the strait in exchange for a fragile truce, prioritising optics over Gulf realities,” noted Hesham Alghannam of the Malcolm H. Kerr Carnegie Middle East Center to Al Jazeera.
The economic bottleneck is massive. As noted by UN News, an estimated 2,000 ships, including oil tankers and cargo vessels, and roughly 20,000 seafarers are currently stranded in the Persian Gulf.
Back stateside, the rhetoric is ramping up. Supply Chain Dive reports that the US will apply a 50% tariff on goods from countries supplying military weapons to Iran, effective immediately. Furthermore, Yahoo Finance notes that the administration signed an executive order threatening up to 100% tariffs on patented drugs. Companies building US facilities with a pricing deal get a 0% tariff; those without a deal face a 20% tariff that scales to 100% within four years.
Adding to the friction, the broader international trade system continues to stall. Reuters reports the WTO suffered a fresh blow as Brazil and Turkey successfully blocked the US bid to extend the e-commerce moratorium. For the first time in 28 years, the agreement preventing tariffs on digital transmissions has lapsed. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer vowed that if the WTO fails to restore it, “the United States will work outside of the WTO with all interested partners to get it done.”
AI Drama: The Altman Exposé
Last week, we questioned whether OpenAI’s constant strategic pivoting was just a desperate attempt to keep the AI bubble afloat. This week, The New Yorker released an in-depth report asking a blunt question: “Sam Altman May Control Our Future. Can He Be Trusted?” (SPOILER: NO HE CANNOT) For operators being told to fundamentally restructure their businesses around these AI tools, the exposé is a sobering reminder to scrutinize the leadership driving this technology.
A central point of the investigation is a documented history of misrepresentation. Internal memos from OpenAI’s former chief scientist, Ilya Sutskever, leading up to Altman’s 2023 firing, explicitly outlined these concerns. One memo reportedly began with the heading, “Sam exhibits a consistent pattern of . . .” and the very first item listed was “Lying.” During a tense phone call following his ouster, the board pressed Altman to acknowledge this deception. He reportedly replied, “I can’t change my personality,” which a board member interpreted to mean, “I have this trait where I lie to people, and I’m not going to stop.” This pattern of behavior allegedly predates OpenAI. At his previous company, Loopt, senior employees twice asked the board to fire him over a lack of transparency. Later, at Y Combinator, Paul Graham reportedly told colleagues that “Sam had been lying to us all the time.”
There is much more to this story, and we highly encourage you to read the full piece for yourself to get a clear picture of the man currently steering the world’s most heavily funded tech bubble. When the tools shaping the future of commerce are controlled by executives with documented histories of shifting narratives, we’d argue that independent operators must read between the lines and ensure they don’t get caught in the whirlpool of Silicon Valley hype.
That’s all for this week! Again, shorter than usual, but we at Hermeslines are working on some things behind the scenes that we hope to share with you soon. Stay nimble. See you all next week!
Note: This information is intended to inform Hermeslines clients and partners about industry developments, including but not limited to decisions of courts and administrative bodies. Nothing in this update should be construed as legal advice, a legal opinion, or customs consulting. Readers should not act upon the information contained in this alert without seeking the advice of a licensed customs broker or legal counsel. Views expressed are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official policy of Hermeslines or its clients. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. Hermeslines does not claim ownership of the original reporting; please refer to the linked sources for full articles and original attribution. This content is intended for commentary, news reporting, and educational purposes under the Fair Use provisions of Section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976. This article is for informational purposes and does not constitute legal or customs advice.
Reference List
Logistics & E-commerce
- Reuters: Exclusive: Amazon strikes deal with USPS that maintains 80% of package volume
- The New York Times: Amazon and U.S. Postal Service Reach New Deal on Deliveries After Year of Talks
- TechCrunch: Amazon hits sellers with ‘fuel surcharge’ as Iran war roils global energy markets
Trade, Tariffs & Geopolitics
- Yahoo Finance: Strait of Hormuz has immediately become the first major flash point of Trump’s ‘fragile’ ceasefire
- Wall Street Journal: Iran Tightens Its Grip on Hormuz Despite Cease-Fire
- Al Jazeera: For Gulf states, Hormuz uncertainty casts shadow over US-Iran ceasefire
- UN News: Iran ceasefire raises hopes for reopening key Strait of Hormuz
- Supply Chain Dive: Trump calls for 50% tariff on goods from nations arming Iran
- Yahoo Finance: Trump unveils up to 100% tariffs on patented drugs
- Reuters: US vows to seek WTO alternatives after Cameroon meeting fails to renew e-commerce moratorium
AI & Tech Sector
- The New Yorker: Sam Altman May Control Our Future—Can He Be Trusted?

